AVERAGE WINNING GRADED TIMES - 1st April 2018 to 31st March 2019



The following Table provides a means of comparing Grading times at English tracks based on CHESTER's analysis of the going adjusted winning times of Graded race winners with the related Ratings.

The Table shows:

  1. The average going adjusted winning times for each Grade
  2. The percentage of races in each Grade
  3. CHESTER's Rating for the times
  4. The total number of Graded races and their average time/Rating
  5. The number and average time/Rating of the fastest 5% of race winners

When considering the relative Graded strength of tracks a simple comparison of winning times/Ratings by Grade can be misleading as account has to be taken of the proportion of races in the particular Grade at each track. For example, at a track staging very few A1 races the average winning time will be flattering when compared with a track staging a high proportion of A1's.

The best measure of the quality of top Graders at tracks is a comparison of the average time/Rating of the fastest 5% of Graded winners, although such comparisons will be less reliable where the sample for either track is small (say, fewer than 50 races) because it may be distorted by a few exceptional times or unreliable going calls. By this measure Newcastle comes out a shade above Romford as having the top Graded strength.

Comparing Prize money by reference to Grades can also be deceptive as the total prize money depends on the proportion of races in each Grade. For example, almost 30% of races are Graded A1 at Romford as compared with less than 1% at Doncaster, Henlow and Hove. Harlow's top Grade is A3.



DETAILS TRACK A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 A8 A9 A10 A11   ALL RACES TOP 5%
                               
AVGE WIN TIME BelleVue 28.06 28.24 28.41 28.51 28.63 28.71 28.81 28.94 29.04 29.30 NONE   28.62 27.97
% RACES BelleVue 3.4% 14.5% 14.0% 12.7% 12.4% 11.4% 10.8% 9.2% 7.3% 4.3% NONE   1916 96
RATING BelleVue 92 83 75 70 64 60 55 48 43 30 NONE   64 97
                               
AVGE WIN TIME CentralPark 29.29 29.48 29.69 29.82 29.96 30.09 30.25 30.43 30.59 NONE NONE   29.79 29.10
% RACES CentralPark 12.4% 18.7% 17.5% 14.8% 11.6% 11.0% 6.9% 6.0% 1.0% NONE NONE   1585 79
RATING CentralPark 88 80 69 63 56 50 43 34 26 NONE NONE   65 98
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Crayford 23.54 23.64 23.71 23.78 23.86 23.93 24.02 24.12 24.23 24.37 NONE   23.97 23.47
% RACES Crayford 1.8% 4.4% 7.4% 11.3% 13.8% 15.7% 15.1% 13.9% 9.6% 7.0% NONE   2879 144
RATING Crayford 96 90 86 82 77 73 67 62 55 46 NONE   70 100
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Doncaster 29.90 29.90 29.96 30.10 30.27 30.39 30.58 30.66 NONE NONE NONE   30.23 29.65
% RACES Doncaster 0.1% 8.7% 17.9% 19.3% 18.2% 16.5% 13.0% 6.4% NONE NONE NONE   716 36
RATING Doncaster 89 89 86 80 72 66 57 53 NONE NONE NONE   74 101
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Harlow NONE NONE 26.10 26.28 26.43 26.61 26.91 NONE NONE NONE NONE   26.68 26.19
% RACES Harlow NONE NONE 1.6% 7.3% 17.6% 29.6% 44.0% NONE NONE NONE NONE   1572 79
RATING Harlow NONE NONE 100 91 83 74 57 NONE NONE NONE NONE   70 96
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Henlow 27.70 27.77 27.88 28.01 28.10 28.20 28.31 28.44 28.58 28.71 28.95   28.36 27.72
% RACES Henlow 0.6% 1.8% 4.4% 7.6% 11.8% 14.5% 14.7% 13.2% 11.2% 10.2% 9.7%   2872 144
RATING Henlow 99 96 90 84 79 74 69 62 55 49 36   66 98
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Hove 30.12 30.26 30.29 30.43 30.53 30.62 30.69 30.77 30.90 31.05 31.28   30.70 30.10
% RACES Hove 0.5% 4.2% 8.8% 11.4% 11.2% 12.1% 10.7% 10.6% 10.6% 10.4% 9.6%   1966 98
RATING Hove 98 92 90 84 79 75 72 68 62 55 44   71 99
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Kinsley 27.81 27.97 28.13 28.25 28.41 28.56 28.73 NONE NONE NONE NONE   28.31 27.77
% RACES Kinsley 2.6% 9.1% 18.5% 26.5% 20.8% 15.0% 7.6% NONE NONE NONE NONE   1782 89
RATING Kinsley 94 85 77 71 63 56 47 NONE NONE NONE NONE   68 95
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Monmore 28.57 28.71 28.81 28.95 29.08 29.19 29.30 29.45 29.60 29.78 NONE   29.12 28.48
% RACES Monmore 3.7% 9.0% 13.0% 14.6% 12.6% 13.7% 12.5% 10.9% 5.7% 4.4% NONE   3114 156
RATING Monmore 89 82 77 70 64 58 53 46 38 30 NONE   62 94
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Newcastle 28.82 29.01 29.18 29.34 29.48 29.65 29.87 30.02 NONE NONE NONE   29.38 28.72
% RACES Newcastle 7.0% 13.6% 16.4% 19.7% 16.9% 12.2% 8.4% 5.7% NONE NONE NONE   2073 104
RATING Newcastle 102 93 85 77 70 62 52 44 NONE NONE NONE   75 108
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Nottingham 30.46 30.72 30.95 31.11 31.29 31.46 31.66 31.88 NONE NONE NONE   31.12 30.41
% RACES Nottingham 4.1% 14.8% 24.4% 19.4% 16.2% 10.4% 7.9% 2.8% NONE NONE NONE   1930 97
RATING Nottingham 95 84 73 65 58 49 40 30 NONE NONE NONE   65 98
                               
AVGE WIN TIME PelawGrange 26.04 26.22 26.39 26.50 26.69 26.84 27.02 27.29 NONE NONE NONE   26.62 25.89
% RACES PelawGrange 5.8% 15.3% 12.4% 15.2% 17.6% 13.6% 11.8% 8.4% NONE NONE NONE   1092 55
RATING PelawGrange 90 80 71 65 55 47 37 22 NONE NONE NONE   58 98
                               
AVGE WIN TIME PerryBarr 28.79 28.95 29.06 29.20 29.32 29.46 29.61 29.79 30.06 NONE NONE   29.49 28.69
% RACES PerryBarr 2.7% 5.2% 7.7% 11.3% 12.5% 14.2% 17.6% 17.9% 10.9% NONE NONE   2618 131
RATING PerryBarr 88 80 75 68 62 55 48 39 26 NONE NONE   54 93
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Peterborough 26.09 26.21 26.31 26.42 26.54 26.63 26.77 26.92 27.04 27.11 27.39   26.66 26.07
% RACES Peterborough 2.1% 4.5% 7.9% 10.4% 13.3% 16.2% 17.2% 16.4% 11.1% 0.8% 0.3%   1528 76
RATING Peterborough 104 98 92 86 80 75 68 60 53 49 34   73 103
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Poole 27.08 27.27 27.37 27.44 27.59 27.72 27.92 28.13 NONE NONE NONE   27.49 26.80
% RACES Poole 17.1% 12.4% 12.8% 14.8% 16.0% 12.9% 8.6% 5.5% NONE NONE NONE   1648 82
RATING Poole 82 73 67 63 56 49 38 27 NONE NONE NONE   61 97
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Romford 24.37 24.57 24.66 24.74 24.80 24.90 24.99 25.11 NONE NONE NONE   24.65 24.13
% RACES Romford 29.5% 17.3% 12.2% 10.1% 9.1% 8.4% 8.1% 5.4% NONE NONE NONE   3152 158
RATING Romford 93 81 76 71 68 62 57 50 NONE NONE NONE   77 107
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Sheffield 29.06 29.19 29.36 29.53 29.65 29.85 30.06 30.37 NONE NONE NONE   29.76 29.03
% RACES Sheffield 2.2% 6.9% 11.6% 14.3% 16.7% 17.8% 17.5% 13.2% NONE NONE NONE   1992 100
RATING Sheffield 97 90 82 74 68 59 49 34 NONE NONE NONE   63 98
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Sunderland 27.57 27.80 27.91 28.02 28.14 28.28 28.40 28.63 NONE NONE NONE   27.95 27.37
% RACES Sunderland 15.9% 19.2% 19.0% 16.3% 14.2% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% NONE NONE NONE   2231 112
RATING Sunderland 87 75 69 64 58 50 44 33 NONE NONE NONE   67 97
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Swindon 29.05 29.24 29.43 29.58 29.69 29.80 29.91 30.07 30.36 NONE NONE   29.79 29.06
% RACES Swindon 1.6% 7.1% 14.3% 14.2% 12.5% 10.2% 8.5% 15.1% 16.6% NONE NONE   2387 119
RATING Swindon 91 82 73 65 60 55 49 42 28 NONE NONE   55 91
                               
AVGE WIN TIME Yarmouth 28.13 28.37 28.52 28.64 28.74 28.91 29.10 29.30 29.60 NONE NONE   28.71 28.02
% RACES Yarmouth 13.3% 10.9% 11.0% 14.3% 15.3% 14.4% 9.7% 7.1% 4.1% NONE NONE   1875 94
RATING Yarmouth 93 87 79 74 68 60 50 40 25 NONE NONE   69 103



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